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VALUE AT RISK · STRESS TESTS · TAIL RISK

Survive the Risk Arena,
one audit at a time.

How much could we lose tomorrow? That question runs every trading floor, and value at risk is the answer the industry settled on. Learn to build VaR three different ways, keep it honest with backtests, stress it past its breaking point — and study the blowups that happen when nobody does.

Enter the arena
0levels cleared
20levels total
3worlds
🛡️
World 1

The Training Grounds

Why Risk Is Measured & Your First VaR

0/6

Every risk manager's job exists because someone, somewhere, lost a fortune nobody saw coming. Meet the disasters that created the profession, learn to measure returns and volatility, and build your first value-at-risk number by hand.

  1. 💥
    Level 1 Why Risk Is Measured
  2. 🔒
    Level 2 Returns, Volatility & the Bell Curve Needs: L01
  3. 🔒
    Level 3 VaR: One Number for the Tail ◆◆ Needs: L02
  4. 🔒
    Level 4 Your First VaR ◆◆ Needs: L03
  5. 🔒
    Level 5 Horizon, Confidence & the Basel Rules ◆◆ Needs: L04
  6. 🔒 👑
    Level 6 · AUDIT The Risk Desk Audit ◆◆◆ Needs: L05
📜 Optional Deep Dives — go in-depth, earn XP, no pressure
⚙️
World 2

The VaR Engine

Portfolio Risk & the Three Methods

0/8

One position is easy; a bank is thousands of them. Learn how correlation shrinks risk, how to decompose a portfolio's VaR into decisions, how volatility is forecast, and the three engines — delta-normal, historical simulation, Monte Carlo — that power every risk system.

  1. 🔒
    Level 7 Portfolio VaR: Correlation Is Everything ◆◆◆ Needs: L05
  2. 🔒
    Level 8 Marginal, Incremental & Component VaR ◆◆◆ Needs: L07
  3. 🔒
    Level 9 Volatility That Moves: EWMA & GARCH ◆◆◆ Needs: L07
  4. 🔒
    Level 10 Delta-Normal: Fast but Fragile ◆◆◆ Needs: L07
  5. 🔒
    Level 11 Historical Simulation: Let the Past Speak ◆◆◆ Needs: L10
  6. 🔒
    Level 12 Monte Carlo: Manufacturing Futures ◆◆◆◆ Needs: L10
  7. 🔒
    Level 13 Backtesting: Keeping the Model Honest ◆◆◆◆ Needs: L11, L12
  8. 🔒 👑
    Level 14 · AUDIT The Model Validation Audit ◆◆◆◆ Needs: L13, L08
🚨
World 3

The War Room

Stress, Liquidity, Credit & Capital

0/6

VaR describes ordinary days. The war room is for the others: stress tests for markets that gap, liquidity that evaporates when you need it, credit losses that arrive skewed, and the discipline of budgeting risk like money. Ends with the CRO's final.

  1. 🔒
    Level 15 Stress Tests & Scenario Analysis ◆◆◆◆ Needs: L13
  2. 🔒
    Level 16 Liquidity Risk: When the Exit Jams ◆◆◆◆ Needs: L15
  3. 🔒
    Level 17 Credit Risk Enters the Arena ◆◆◆◆ Needs: L15
  4. 🔒
    Level 18 Risk Budgeting & RAROC ◆◆◆◆◆ Needs: L16, L17
  5. 🔒
    Level 19 When VaR Fails: Fat Tails & Blowups ◆◆◆◆◆ Needs: L16, L17
  6. 🔒 👑
    Level 20 · AUDIT The Chief Risk Officer's Final ◆◆◆◆◆ Needs: L18, L19
📜 Optional Deep Dives — go in-depth, earn XP, no pressure
🎓

Graduate from Risk Arena

Clear all 20 levels and the three audits to leave with the working toolkit of a market risk manager: VaR you can compute three ways, backtests that catch broken models, stress tests for the days correlation fails, and the judgment to know when the one number is lying.

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